Balance
€10,199
available — not tied up in open bets
+ €52 committed to open bets = €10,251 total worth
started from €10,000
updated just now
The pre-match account
A paper bankroll of €10,000 that follows every single signal the scanner produces — automatically, with no human choosing which ones to include. Every bet is written down before kick-off and never edited afterwards.
| Figure | Flat stake — €50 a bet | Kelly staking |
|---|---|---|
| Total worth | €10,226 | €10,251 |
| Profit on settled bets | +€226 | +€251 |
| Return on money staked | +3.67% | +4.60% |
| Worst drawdown | −4.9% | −3.9% |
The same 123 settled bets in both columns. Over this few bets, the gap between them mostly shows whether the bigger stakes happened to win — it is not evidence that one way of staking is better.
Kelly staking: each stake is a share of the account's current balance set by the Kelly formula — larger when the measured edge is larger, scaled down and capped so that no single bet can sink the account. Same bets, same prices, same results as the flat view. This is a paper account with no real money at stake. It exists to show that our backtested analysis also holds in a forward test, and how a starting wallet survives and grows under each staking method. Neither view is a recommendation of what you should stake.
Balance
€10,199
available — not tied up in open bets
+ €52 committed to open bets = €10,251 total worth
started from €10,000
In open bets
€52
1 bet still running — this money is spent, not spendable
first kick-off
+4.60%
€5,449 staked across 123 settled bets
weighted by stake — big bets count more, which is what the bankroll felt
Bankroll, bet by bet
€9,905 low · €10,437 high · 124 points
Graded against the market's own final verdict, as bets accumulate
119 of the 500 bets that settle this. The running average is +1.68%. The dashed line marks +2.81%, the historical result on this market.
This is a paper account. It assumes every price shown was still available and every bet was accepted, so it carries none of the costs of actually placing them — rejected bets, and the restrictions bookmakers put on winning accounts. Your own results will differ from this line, and they can land either side of it: it depends on which bets you take, the prices you actually get, and how long your accounts stay open. This curve shows what the signal did, not what your account will do.
Every bet is recorded at the price the bookmaker offered when we found it. Your bookmaker may give you a slightly different price — slippage — and nothing is deducted for it here. Watch the CLV column below — it is the honest number, and it settles down long before the bankroll does.
Settled bets are shown in full — that is the evidence, and none of it is edited or removed. The 1 bet still running is listed with its stake and edge but without the pick itself: that is a live selection and it is what subscribers pay for. It appears here in full the moment it settles. See them live →
| Placed | Kick-off | Match | Bet | Odds | Kelly stake | Edge | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Catanzaro 1929 v Ascoli
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.50 | €17.31 | +3.45% | +5.52% | -17.31 | ||
| Samsunspor v Amed SK
Süper Lig |
Away 1X2 | 2.17 best of 12 |
€39.91 | +3.72% | -11.25% | +46.69 | ||
| Valencia v Villarreal
La Liga |
Away 1X2 | 2.27 | €24.73 | +2.50% | +7.07% | +31.41 | ||
| AEK Athens v Panetolikos Agrinio
Super League Greece |
Home 1X2 | 1.15 best of 4 |
€168.13 | +2.01% | +1.60% | +25.22 | ||
| Alverca v Arouca
Primeira Liga |
Draw 1X2 | 3.50 best of 2 |
€20.87 | +4.16% | +3.31% | -20.87 | ||
| RC Lens v Paris FC
Ligue 1 |
Away 1X2 | 3.02 | €26.92 | +4.34% | -5.98% | -26.92 | ||
| Atlético Madrid v Deportivo La Coruña
La Liga |
Home 1X2 | 1.34 | €109.07 | +2.96% | +5.76% | +37.08 | ||
| Inter Milan v Fiorentina
Serie A |
Home 1X2 | 1.41 | €87.49 | +2.86% | +0.79% | +35.87 | ||
| Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga |
Away 1X2 | 3.00 best of 10 |
€17.93 | +2.86% | -3.08% | -17.93 | ||
| Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96
2. Bundesliga |
Home 1X2 | 3.05 best of 10 |
€18.80 | +3.07% | -3.97% | +38.54 | ||
| PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord
Eredivisie |
Away 1X2 | 3.40 best of 3 |
€25.02 | +4.79% | +3.89% | -25.02 | ||
| Motherwell v Hearts
Scottish Premiership |
Away 1X2 | 2.30 best of 2 |
€20.68 | +2.14% | +18.33% | +26.88 | ||
| Crystal Palace v Newcastle United
Premier League |
Away 1X2 | 2.42 | €22.91 | +2.59% | -12.60% | +32.53 | ||
| Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata FC
Super League Greece |
Home 1X2 | 1.15 best of 6 |
€200.68 | +2.99% | -1.37% | +30.10 | ||
| Hull City v Brentford
Premier League |
Away 1X2 | 1.78 best of 2 |
€50.55 | +3.14% | +2.79% | -50.55 | ||
| Genoa v Venezia
Serie A |
Draw 1X2 | 3.50 best of 8 |
€23.03 | +4.59% | +2.08% | -23.03 | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax
Eredivisie |
Away 1X2 | 1.56 | €45.25 | +2.02% | +1.60% | +25.34 | ||
| Toulouse v Troyes
Ligue 1 |
Home 1X2 | 1.68 best of 4 |
€38.46 | +2.09% | +3.27% | -38.46 | ||
| Angers v Lorient
Ligue 1 |
Away 1X2 | 2.60 | €19.27 | +2.46% | +9.70% | -19.27 | ||
| SC Freiburg v Bayern Munich
Bundesliga |
Away 1X2 | 1.42 | €59.85 | +2.00% | -3.57% | +25.14 | ||
| Real Sociedad v Levante
La Liga |
Home 1X2 | 1.72 | €39.69 | +2.28% | +9.77% | +28.58 | ||
| Gent v Anderlecht
Belgian Pro League |
Draw 1X2 | 3.40 best of 3 |
€12.02 | +2.30% | -1.87% | -12.02 | ||
| AZ Alkmaar v FC Twente Enschede
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 2.30 best of 3 |
€29.13 | +3.02% | -5.56% | -29.13 | ||
| Montpellier v Red Star
Ligue 2 |
Home 1X2 | 2.57 | €29.30 | +3.67% | — | +46.00 | ||
| Sevilla v CA Osasuna
La Liga |
Home 1X2 | 2.02 | €28.92 | +2.35% | +1.54% | +29.50 | ||
| Padova v Südtirol
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.25 best of 2 |
€16.40 | +2.87% | +1.11% | -16.40 | ||
| Venezia v Inter Milan
Serie A |
Home HC +1.5 | 2.02 | €26.13 | +2.08% | +8.17% | -26.13 | ||
| Parma v Udinese
Serie A |
Home 1X2 | 3.17 | €12.94 | +2.19% | +6.06% | -12.94 | ||
| Pisa v Palermo
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.50 best of 22 |
€27.65 | +5.38% | +0.06% | +69.12 | ||
| Carrarese v Arezzo
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.40 | €16.38 | +3.06% | -6.91% | -16.38 | ||
| Frosinone v Lecce
Serie A |
Home 1X2 | 1.78 | €62.80 | +3.81% | -0.62% | +48.98 | ||
| Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga |
Away 1X2 | 2.16 best of 3 |
€28.09 | +2.53% | +10.74% | -28.09 | ||
| Sheffield United v Wrexham AFC
Championship |
Home 1X2 | 2.50 best of 4 |
€28.20 | +3.28% | +7.18% | +42.30 | ||
| Lille v RC Lens
Ligue 1 |
Under O/U 2.5 | 1.93 best of 4 |
€36.34 | +2.62% | +1.88% | +33.80 | ||
| Lille v RC Lens
Ligue 1 |
Draw 1X2 | 3.50 best of 2 |
€24.80 | +4.81% | +4.11% | -24.80 | ||
| Grimsby Town v York City
League Two |
Home 1X2 | 2.48 | €26.08 | +2.99% | +3.54% | +38.60 | ||
| FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig
Bundesliga |
Away 1X2 | 1.91 best of 5 |
€31.41 | +2.22% | +0.51% | +28.58 | ||
| Tranmere Rovers v Cheltenham Town
League Two |
Home 1X2 | 2.00 | €27.66 | +2.14% | -3.13% | +27.66 | ||
| Coventry City v Sunderland
Premier League |
Under O/U 2.5 | 1.96 | €33.26 | +2.48% | -4.85% | -33.26 | ||
| Colchester United v Walsall
League Two |
Home 1X2 | 2.70 | €26.90 | +3.54% | -0.24% | -26.90 | ||
| SD Eibar v Almería
Segunda División |
Away 1X2 | 2.70 best of 6 |
€15.78 | +2.08% | -14.34% | -15.78 | ||
| Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo
La Liga |
Draw 1X2 | 3.45 best of 5 |
€14.10 | +2.68% | +3.87% | -14.10 | ||
| Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 1.21 | €169.72 | +2.76% | +3.08% | -169.72 | ||
| Fenerbahce v Goztepe
Süper Lig |
Home 1X2 | 1.41 | €68.64 | +2.18% | -10.02% | -68.64 | ||
| Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga |
Home 1X2 | 1.39 | €75.03 | +2.27% | +1.80% | -75.03 | ||
| Real Betis v Málaga
La Liga |
Home HC -1.5 | 2.01 | €30.16 | +2.36% | +0.50% | -30.16 | ||
| Real Betis v Málaga
La Liga |
Home 1X2 | 1.39 best of 4 |
€126.76 | +3.83% | +1.73% | +49.44 | ||
| PSV Eindhoven v Willem II
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 1.13 | €206.39 | +4.48% | +4.76% | +26.83 | ||
| Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.25 best of 11 |
€14.26 | +2.49% | +7.16% | -14.26 | ||
| Barcelona v Alavés
La Liga |
Home 1X2 | 1.16 best of 4 |
€206.39 | +4.34% | +4.66% | +33.02 |