Balance
€10,199
available — not tied up in open bets
+ €52 committed to open bets = €10,251 total worth
started from €10,000
updated just now
The pre-match account
A paper bankroll of €10,000 that follows every single signal the scanner produces — automatically, with no human choosing which ones to include. Every bet is written down before kick-off and never edited afterwards.
| Figure | Flat stake — €50 a bet | Kelly staking |
|---|---|---|
| Total worth | €10,226 | €10,251 |
| Profit on settled bets | +€226 | +€251 |
| Return on money staked | +3.67% | +4.60% |
| Worst drawdown | −4.9% | −3.9% |
The same 123 settled bets in both columns. Over this few bets, the gap between them mostly shows whether the bigger stakes happened to win — it is not evidence that one way of staking is better.
Kelly staking: each stake is a share of the account's current balance set by the Kelly formula — larger when the measured edge is larger, scaled down and capped so that no single bet can sink the account. Same bets, same prices, same results as the flat view. This is a paper account with no real money at stake. It exists to show that our backtested analysis also holds in a forward test, and how a starting wallet survives and grows under each staking method. Neither view is a recommendation of what you should stake.
Balance
€10,199
available — not tied up in open bets
+ €52 committed to open bets = €10,251 total worth
started from €10,000
In open bets
€52
1 bet still running — this money is spent, not spendable
first kick-off
+4.60%
€5,449 staked across 123 settled bets
weighted by stake — big bets count more, which is what the bankroll felt
Bankroll, bet by bet
€9,905 low · €10,437 high · 124 points
Graded against the market's own final verdict, as bets accumulate
119 of the 500 bets that settle this. The running average is +1.68%. The dashed line marks +2.81%, the historical result on this market.
This is a paper account. It assumes every price shown was still available and every bet was accepted, so it carries none of the costs of actually placing them — rejected bets, and the restrictions bookmakers put on winning accounts. Your own results will differ from this line, and they can land either side of it: it depends on which bets you take, the prices you actually get, and how long your accounts stay open. This curve shows what the signal did, not what your account will do.
Every bet is recorded at the price the bookmaker offered when we found it. Your bookmaker may give you a slightly different price — slippage — and nothing is deducted for it here. Watch the CLV column below — it is the honest number, and it settles down long before the bankroll does.
Settled bets are shown in full — that is the evidence, and none of it is edited or removed. The 1 bet still running is listed with its stake and edge but without the pick itself: that is a live selection and it is what subscribers pay for. It appears here in full the moment it settles. See them live →
| Placed | Kick-off | Match | Bet | Odds | Kelly stake | Edge | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus v Lazio
Serie A |
Away 1X2 | 5.90 | €10.21 | +4.00% | +1.13% | +50.03 | ||
| AC Milan v Atalanta BC
Serie A |
Home 1X2 | 1.93 | €51.56 | +3.84% | +12.23% | +47.95 | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim
Bundesliga |
Home 1X2 | 3.33 | €24.97 | +4.65% | +5.61% | -24.97 | ||
| Cesena FC v Avellino
Serie B |
Draw 1X2 | 3.40 | €17.17 | +3.30% | +8.19% | +41.21 | ||
| Paris FC v Rennes
Ligue 1 |
Draw 1X2 | 3.67 best of 12 |
€33.40 | +7.13% | -3.78% | -33.40 | ||
| Groningen v Ajax
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 3.80 | €17.24 | +3.86% | +6.28% | -17.24 | ||
| Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis
Super League Greece |
Home 1X2 | 1.26 best of 10 |
€181.49 | +3.78% | +3.44% | +47.19 | ||
| Celtic v Hearts
Scottish Premiership |
Away 1X2 | 5.25 best of 4 |
€11.78 | +4.01% | +6.94% | -11.78 | ||
| SC Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 7.00 best of 4 |
€19.55 | +9.39% | +2.01% | -19.55 | ||
| AD Ceuta FC v Oviedo
Segunda División |
Home 1X2 | 3.25 best of 6 |
€23.08 | +4.15% | +9.67% | -23.08 | ||
| FC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie |
Draw 1X2 | 4.20 best of 5 |
€25.95 | +6.64% | -2.38% | -25.95 | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II
Eredivisie |
Away 1X2 | 5.50 best of 4 |
€23.14 | +8.33% | -10.30% | -23.14 | ||
| AS Roma v Genoa
Serie A |
Away 1X2 | 7.50 best of 4 |
€9.81 | +5.10% | +14.25% | -9.81 | ||
| Newcastle United v Aston Villa
Premier League |
Away 1X2 | 3.19 | €20.14 | +3.53% | -5.15% | +44.11 | ||
| ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie |
Home 1X2 | 10.00 best of 3 |
€9.69 | +6.97% | -9.27% | +87.21 | ||
| SD Eibar v Mallorca
Segunda División |
Draw 1X2 | 3.30 best of 17 |
€43.36 | +7.98% | +1.84% | +99.73 | ||
| Swindon Town v Walsall
League Two |
Away 1X2 | 2.60 | €29.58 | +3.79% | +4.61% | -29.58 | ||
| Port Vale v Chesterfield FC
League Two |
Draw 1X2 | 3.90 | €19.37 | +4.49% | +13.03% | -19.37 | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday v Wimbledon
League One |
Away 1X2 | 5.30 best of 10 |
€17.59 | +6.05% | -3.99% | -17.59 | ||
| Elversberg v Augsburg
Bundesliga |
Draw 1X2 | 4.10 best of 3 |
€16.57 | +4.11% | +6.36% | -16.57 | ||
| Middlesbrough v Cardiff City
Championship |
Away 1X2 | 5.80 best of 14 |
€22.81 | +8.76% | -1.42% | -22.81 | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim
2. Bundesliga |
Draw 1X2 | 4.50 best of 2 |
€14.97 | +4.19% | -0.46% | -14.97 | ||
| Frosinone v Sassuolo
Serie A |
Home 1X2 | 2.51 | €29.83 | +3.60% | -2.25% | +45.04 | ||
| Stade de Reims v Dijon
Ligue 2 |
Away 1X2 | 4.50 best of 11 |
€18.86 | +5.28% | +0.92% | -18.86 |